Obama’s Perceived Weakness Means a Middle East War Sooner Rather than Later

 

 

Barak Obama is playing a high stakes game of chicken with Israel will trying to use his legendary charm and bonhomie to persuade our Islamic brethren to get all peaceful and chummy with us; and the rest of the word, including an indefensible and newly emasculated Israel. Just as Mr. Obama has made a spectacle of his weakness in the summit of the Americas, just as he did in Europe, if President Sarkozy is to be believed, he’s going to do with Islamic countries.  Obama is going to listen.  Obama is going to apologize.  Obama is going to not defend American interests because collage career, and his church in Illinois, taught him that America is evil and shouldn’t be defended.  Caught in the crossfire of Obama’s crazed socialist ideology, and latent anti Americanism, is the Jewish State of Israel who’s surrounded by jealous and perpetually bellicose Muslim nations.  Obama has made it clear that Israel will be required to take our two state solutions and give up the more settlements and the strategically vital positions and probably Jerusalem as well.  In return the Arabs and the Islamic people will give them peace.  Sure they will.

Both the Arabs and Israel know that Mr. Obama is dead wrong and his dangerous inability to deal with the facts on the ground have necessitated the Prime Minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, to make a very lonely and dangerous decision.  Israel is going to have to disarm Iran of its nuclear program all by itself.  The danger only increases while they wait and they might as well do it now and get it over with because there’s going to be major trouble with the Obama Administration over the unilateral action they forced Israel to take.  Can anyone in Israel, observing Obama on the world stage, think that he might be persuaded to change his mind regarding groveling at the feet of Islam?  Can anyone believe that Iran won’t turn Tel Aviv into a mushroom cloud the first chance they get?  (Anyone but Obama and the Democrats in congress that is?)

It’s a classic error to make if you’re a democrat president.  In World War II President Roosevelt wanted to move the fleet from San Diego to Pearl Harbor Hawaii to send a message to the Japanese that American would not put up with any more of their militarism and expansionism.  Why do all Democrats love to send these “messages”?  (But I digress)  The Japanese took one look at the “message” and failed to find a “deterrent” but instead found an existential threat leveled at their throat: and they immediately began preparation to destroy the American Fleet.  History tells the rest of the story.  Japan would not put up with an existential threat to her people any more that we would; or any more than Israel will.  The War between Israel and Iran will likely be the next big shoe to drop and if the Iranians react badly and start blowing up the oil fields of its neighbors in the Persian Gulf,  the economic fallout in the west could be catastrophic. 

Obama has made a strategic decision to work against the Israelis rather than with them.  His neo socialist transnationalism demands that he sell his soul to the fashionable Anti Semitic crap that the sophisticated people in Europe and the United Nations have been spouting for decades.  No objective observer can blame Israel for taking out a guy like Ahmadinejad when he’s inches away from getting nuclear weapons.  Obama is acting on the sugar-plum, internationalist, dogma of academia and the goofy church of Jeremiah Wright: rather than the facts on the ground and actual history to inform his decisions.  The result this time is going to be war.  It could hit at any time this year.  It could be as early as this week or summers end but its definitely coming. 

Consider some clips from recent news articles starting with the Debka File:

http://www.debka.com/article.php?aid=1387

 

Washington may believe it can live with a nuclear-armed Iran – a decision probably taken first under the Bush presidency. But Israel cannot, and may have no option but to part ways with the Obama administration on this point. As a nuclear power, Iran will be able to bend Jerusalem to the will of its enemies: Israel will be forced to unconditionally give Syria the Golan plus extra pieces of territory; tamely accept a Hamas-dominated Palestinian West Bank louring over its heartland and let the Lebanese Hizballah terrorize Galilee in the north at will. All three will make hay under Iran’s nuclear shield.

Israel will be stripped of most of its defenses against a radical Islamic Republic anointed by Washington as the reigning regional power and dedicated to its destruction.

Israel is not the only country in peril.

Unlike Israel, Hosni Mubarak of Egypt has stuck his neck out, backed quietly by Saudi Arabia, as the only Middle East ruler to stand up to the threat Iran poses to the region directly and through its surrogate, Hizballah. He is openly critical of Washington’s courtship of the revolutionary Islamic republic.

Syria is another object of Obama’s charm offensive for extremists regardless of Bashar Assad’s blunt statement Friday, April 17, to the pro-Hizballah Lebanese publication al Akhbar that Damascus will not loosen its strategic ties with Tehran or stop supporting the Lebanese Shiite group [with arms] because Hizballah is dedicated to fighting Israel.

For the first time in years, the administration this week sent a high-ranking delegation to Syria’s independence day celebrations at Washington’s Mandarin Oriental Hotel, headed by Jeffrey Feltman, former ambassador and Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for Near Eastern Affairs.

The thaw in relations has gone so far that some Washington wags are calling Assad’s capital “Syria on the Potomac.”

To gain points with these new friends, Obama’s White House is not above nudging Israel to please them. This week, his chief of staff Rahm Emanuel told Jewish leaders whom he met in Washington that if Israel wants America’s help for thwarting Iran’s nuclear program, it must first start evacuating West Bank settlements.

This was of course cynical claptrap.                  

So what options are left to Israel at this juncture?

1. To bow under the Obama tempest until it blows over, in keeping with the old proverb which says that the trees bowing in the wind remain standing. The question is will Israel’s trees still be standing when the storm has passed and, if so, in what strategic environment?

2. To follow the example set by Likud’s first prime minister Menahem Begin in 1981. He stood up to Ronald Reagan’s fierce objections and sent the Israeli Air force to smash the Iraqi nuclear reactor before it was operational, which Saddam Hussein never rebuilt. By following in Begin’s footsteps before it is too late, Netanyahu would change the rules of the game regionally and globally.

(The London Times reported from Jerusalem Saturday that the Israeli military is preparing itself to launch a massive aerial assault on Iran’s nuclear facilities within days of being given the go-ahead by its new government. Two civil defense drills have been scheduled to prepare the population for missiles that could fall on any part of the country without warning.)

3. Israel could go for a more modest target, one of Iran’s faithful surrogates – Syria or Hizballah – to warn Washington that a larger operation is in store for their boss. If the Gaza offensive against Hamas last January was meant to send this message, it failed. Hamas is still the dominant Palestinian power and Barack Obama was not diverted from forging ahead with his policies of rapprochement with Iran and other radical world leaders.

Now consider this from the Times Online at this URL:

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article6115903.ece

“Israel wants to know that if its forces were given the green light they could strike at Iran in a matter of days, even hours. They are making preparations on every level for this eventuality. The message to Iran is that the threat is not just words,” one senior defense official told The Times.

 

Officials believe that Israel could be required to hit more than a dozen targets, including moving convoys. The sites include Natanz, where thousands of centrifuges produce enriched uranium; Esfahan, where 250 tons of gas is stored in tunnels; and Arak, where a heavy water reactor produces plutonium.
The distance from Israel to at least one of the sites is more than 870 miles, a distance that the Israeli force practiced covering in a training exercise last year that involved F15 and F16 jets, helicopters and refueling tankers.Israel has made public its intention to hold the largest-ever nationwide drill next month.
Colonel Hilik Sofer told Haaretz, a daily Israeli newspaper, that the drill would “train for a reality in which during war missiles can fall on any part of the country without warning … We want the citizens to understand that war can happen tomorrow morning”.

“Israel has made it clear that it will not tolerate the threat of a nuclear Iran. According to Israeli Intelligence they will have the bomb within two years … Once they have a bomb it will be too late, and Israel will have no choice to strike — with or without America,” an official from the Israeli Defense Ministry said.

Now consider this from the Age.Com.AU

http://www.theage.com.au/world/obamas-stance-worries-israelis-20090417-aa90.html

 

Obama’s stance worries Israelis

  • Jason Koutsoukis
  • April 18, 2009

CAN Israel still call the United States its best international friend? Apparently not, if you believe the tone of the local media.

Watching the drama unfold inside Israel, the increasingly tense dialogue between US President Barack Obama and new Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is taking on all the trappings of a duel.

Almost every day brings news of another sore point between the two countries, a source of yet further inflammation of their once warm relations.

One could be forgiven for thinking that the more immediate threat to Israel’s national security lay across the Atlantic rather than from closer to home.

It is bad enough that President Obama uses almost every opportunity he can to set the parameters of a final peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians. Now US officials are openly using Israeli anxiety over Iran’s fledging nuclear program as a bargaining chip to force Israel’s hand on giving up control of the West Bank Palestinian territory.

No less a figure than White House chief-of-staff Rahm Emanuel — whose father fought with the militant Zionist group the Irgun, and whose appointment had provided such reassurance to Israeli officials — was quoted this week laying down the law to Israel.

If Israel wants US help to defuse the Iranian threat, Mr Emanuel was reported to have told Jewish leaders in Washington, then get ready to start evacuating settlements in the West Bank.

Then on Thursday came the news that Mr Netanyahu’s planned first meeting with President Obama in Washington next month had been called off.

Mr Netanyahu had hoped to capitalize on his attendance at the annual American Israel Public Affairs Committee conference in Washington to visit the White House.

But Administration officials informed Mr Netanyahu’s office that the President would not be “in town”.

Washington sources added that the Obama Administration would not be continuing the tradition that had developed during the Bush years of hosting Israeli prime ministers whenever they showed up in town, sometimes with just a phone call’s notice.

It might have been no more than coincidence, but yesterday Israeli defense officials told the liberal daily Haaretz that Israel’s $US15 billion ($A21 billion) purchase of 75 US-made F-35 Joint Strike Fighter jets was now under review due to “the unexpected high cost and disagreements with the manufacturer”.

Contrary to initial expectations, President Obama has wasted no time becoming fully engaged in the Middle East peace process, despite the magnitude of his domestic political agenda. While Mr Netanyahu has refused to endorse a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestinian conflict agreed to by his predecessor, President Obama has made it abundantly clear that the US will accept nothing less than Israel living side by side with a sovereign Palestinian state.

Mr Obama is also demanding a freeze on Jewish settlement expansion in the West Bank, and has dropped the Bush administration’s opposition to Hamas being part of a future Palestinian Authority government.

According to prominent Israeli political commentator Maya Bengal, who writes for the country’s second-largest selling newspaper Maariv, the holiday is over.

“As Passover comes to an end, so comes to an end, it seems, the days of grace granted to the Netanyahu Government by the American Administration,” says the commentator.

 

 

 

 

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